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Earnings have fallen more than 50% this year because of slow loan growth, lower margins, and higher provisions. The excess capital over regulatory minimums should give investors confidence banks can weather further headwinds. Future risks include lower for longer interest rates an...
The expected 2020 EPS growth rate for the Financial sector improved from -36% to -32% by the end of July '20 but has remained stagnant since. 2021's expected revenue growth was greater than the 2020 percentage decline until April 10th, and then, 2020's expected percentage decline ecli...
In this article I will walk you through the commonly used but wrong way to think about volatility decay. We'll then walk through an example of volatility decay with realistic numbers. Afterwards, we'll build a simple mathematical model to calculate volatility decay from first prin...
The Technology sector has been the hardest hit group since the S&P 500's last all-time high on September 2nd. As a result of those declines, the sector's weighting in the S&P 500 has dropped roughly 1.5 percentage points from 28.85% down to 27.35%. The Technology sector ha...
Downturns in bank credit expansion always lead to systemic problems. We are on the edge of such a downturn, which thanks to everyone's focus on the coronavirus, is unexpected. We can now identify March 23 as the date when markets stopped worrying about deflation and realised that monetary in...
The Fed last night ordered banks to suspend dividend increases and not resume buybacks through at least the third quarter. Not only that, but dividends going forward will be limited to what the banks actually earn (more or less). More news on: Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF, SPDR S&P...
David Aurelio of Refinitiv is doing an earnings conference call today, i.e. Wednesday morning, June 24th, 2020 at 11:00 am central time. Search the Refinitiv website or David Aurelio's blog for the details. This blog's source earnings data comes from Refinitiv, which sources the data from IBES...
Introduction In September, 2019, I put out an article titled " The Monetary Death Spiral " attempting to explain why interest rates, inflation, productivity, and economic growth have been sliding downward over the past 35 years. To understand the theory, one must first understand the tw...
With the Canadian TSX today virtually unchanged from its April 2008 peak, even the most steadfast buy and hold investors have reaped zero capital gains over more than 12 years of risk and just 1.7% annually since the prior cycle peak in July 2000. Those who bought GICs and government bonds ove...
Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker says the U.S economy's recover is likely to be uneven and could be reversed if businesses open too soon, triggering a second wave of infections. More news on: Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF, Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares ETF, Direxion...
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2024-07-19 11:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-29 10:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-20 08:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...