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2023-11-03 01:25:00 ET Summary The nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly jumped in September. The increase of 336,000 was the largest since January, and it was accompanied by upward revisions to the prior two months. The 12-month trend rate for the overall price index for person...
2023-10-26 08:29:00 ET Summary Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of new homes sold during the month of September 2023 is $30.62 billion. While September 2023's market cap is approaching the nominal, non-inflation adjusted peak from the housing b...
2023-10-24 16:10:00 ET Summary An area of the high-quality fixed income market that hasn’t enjoyed a smooth ride this year is agency mortgage-backed securities (agency MBS). The FDIC has already liquidated approximately 95% of its agency MBS portfolio, and many market parti...
2023-10-24 12:45:00 ET Summary The release of the September "dot plot" started the recent rally in the 10-year US Treasury yield. There's also an imbalance in supply and demand for Treasury bonds. Most US mortgages are long-term fixed-rate mortgages at relatively low rates, so I d...
2023-10-21 09:00:00 ET Summary Long-term borrowers, including home buyers and businesses looking for term debt, wonder why today’s interest rates are so high and when they will fall. Long-term rates may also be influenced by global factors. Long-term rates in Europe and...
2023-10-20 21:25:00 ET Summary There’s always a lot of debate about what the best inflation hedge is. Is it gold, commodities, TIPS, stocks, Bitcoin, real assets or something else? There has been a lot of chatter about long-term bonds in recent weeks as yields continue to m...
2023-10-18 21:20:00 ET Summary Mortgage rates officially hit 8% today. It’s amazing considering mortgage rates were as low as 2.5% back in just 2020. It isn’t the high rate that is so alarming – it’s the rate of change. And this is what separates this p...
2023-10-18 01:35:00 ET Summary Treasury yields across the curve rose to 20-year highs as the market assessed the possibility of the Fed leaving policy rates higher for longer. Credit posted mixed results, with higher risk sectors softening late in the period together with equities...
2023-10-16 12:32:00 ET Summary We turn tactically neutral long-term Treasuries as markets price high-for-longer policy rates but stay underweight strategically. We cut high-quality credit again. U.S. stocks steadied last week as Q3 earnings season started. Ten-year Treasury yields...
2023-10-12 12:01:00 ET Summary Tight monetary policy is slowing growth, but we see room to avoid a hard landing in the U.S. while Europe and China remain key risks on a global basis. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, shorter maturities offer opportunity, with potential for ...
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2024-07-18 07:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 05:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-27 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...