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The expected risk premium for the Global Market (GMI) ticked up in August, reaching an annualized 6.1%, slightly above the previous month’s estimate. Despite the comparatively high GMI forecast, the current estimate remains well below the index’s realized risk premium fo...
The winning streak for American shares rolled on in August. US stocks rose for a seventh straight month and posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes. US bonds also lost ground in August. The Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index slipped 0.2%, the first monthly decline for the be...
The “new normal,” we believe, can be analyzed into two major categories: monetary and fiscal, on one hand, and technological, social, and political on the other. In both categories, the “new normal” long predates the pandemic, which has served mainly to acc...
Looking ahead, as the global economy gradually reopens, monetary and fiscal policies continue to be accommodative to support the recovery, and pent-up demand is being released in advanced economies. Fluctuations in aggregate demand, oil price movements, and supply disruptions contribu...
Capture ratios pack a lot of information about the risk profile for assets in a portfolio relative to the overall portfolio over any period of time you choose to select. Upside capture ratio (UCR) quantifies how frequently an asset outperforms relative to a benchmark. The compleme...
VEA has underperformed SPY since inception, but its portfolio is most likely undervalued. While the portfolio is heavily diversified and weighted returns on equity are not exciting, the fund is fundamentally inexpensive. While VEA might not necessarily rebound relative to SPY, it ...
As passive indexing grows, so too has the front-running of additions and deletions to popular indexes like the S&P 500. It's perfectly legal, and it's a massive wealth transfer from Main Street to Wall Street. Why and how to take countermeasures against this problem, whether y...
The U.S. is passing the baton in leading the economic restart to other developed markets; but we see fresh challenges in many emerging markets. Better-than-expected U.S. jobs data drove U.S. 10-year bond yields to the highest level in two weeks. U.S. stocks hit record highs. China...
Central banks are being forced to address many challenges—inequality, climate change, and debt management to name but three. Given these tensions, will controlling inflation retain its overriding precedence? As priorities change, we believe inflation is on the verge of an i...
Global equity markets have diverged widely lately, with European and US stocks strongly outperforming the rest of the world. Despite recent strength, Europe has performed roughly in line with its global peers since last year. Contributions to the FTSE All-World ex USA returns were...
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2024-05-05 03:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-25 09:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-24 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...