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The S&P 500 was down 2.2% last week, which, in normal times, would be barely worth a mention. But in today’s speculative market, that qualifies as a correction. The first two quarters of this year were a big rebound, but last quarter was a bummer with the emergence of the D...
Equity valuations remain very expensive. Commodity inflation and supply chain issues could derail the Fed. A 5%-10% correction is likely short-term. Strong momentum signals that the equity bubble keeps on inflating after the correction. For further details see: Energ...
Service sector growth accelerated but is threatened by rising COVID-19 case numbers, notably in Europe, which have hit business confidence for year-ahead prospects. Growth in the 'G4' developed economies of the US, Eurozone, Japan and the UK had surged to an all-time high in May as ec...
What seems at first sight like a big win for Powell is actually more of a 'Pyrrhic victory', and not only for him. On one hand, Powell is now free of the pressure to please his (political) masters. That's bad news for investors. On the other hand, Powell is getting a (professional...
Working from various 2022 investment outlooks as well as other research material, I have constructed a 16-ETF portfolio that seeks to balance diversity, growth, and current income. In this article, I will offer a conceptual overview, a thumbnail sketch of each of the 16 ETFs, as well ...
The October Consumer Price Index rose another 0.9% last month, which is a 6.2% year-over-year increase. The current policies of the Fed and Congress don't seem very effective at stopping this, assuming they're even trying to stop inflation at all. The best inflation defense curren...
IHS Markit's PMI surveys track input costs at manufacturing and service sector companies around the world, as well as the average prices charged for these goods and services. The Global PMI's selling price index hit an all-time high of 60.3 with record highs seen for both goods and se...
It feels as if the 'Santa Claus Rally' has started early this year. If history is of any indication, we're due for another ~4% over the next 8 weeks. Nonetheless, things are getting more and more bubbly, and the combination of Tapering, higher inflation, and higher rates is anything b...
Climate risk is investment risk. The global net-zero transition will help shape portfolio outcomes over coming years, with emerging markets playing a key role. The Federal Reserve plans to start tapering its bond purchases in November and said the current high inflation will unlikely ...
The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...
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2024-05-05 03:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-25 09:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-24 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...