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2024-01-31 02:00:00 ET Summary If the Fed does happen to break something and the economy grinds to a halt, it can respond very quickly. We believe growth of 2.5% is very doable in the 2020s. Healthcare companies are fast becoming data companies. In their first walk o...
2024-01-30 11:35:00 ET Summary The US 10-2-year Treasury yield spread has moved from a deep inversion at 108 bps last July to -14 bps as of January 25, 2024. Re-steepening of the yield curve has historically coincided with rising unemployment claims. For stocks, corporate debt...
2024-01-30 10:45:00 ET Summary With the Fed cutting rates, at some point, fixed-income securities are likely to appreciate in price when their unwinding begins to take place. Investment-grade U.S. corporate bond sales just hit a record for January at $176 billion, breaching the pr...
2024-01-30 09:22:00 ET Summary Interest rates in most parts of the world appear to be stabilizing as we enter 2024, as inflation trends continue to decline from the high levels seen in the summer of 2022. The Federal Reserve remains laser-focused on inflation and suggested there m...
2024-01-30 03:20:00 ET Summary In my opinion, the border and the US labor force are paramount political issues in 2024. The current longevity and depth of the yield curve inversion is not atypical of the inversions that have preceded all recessions in the post-war period. The ...
2024-01-29 17:35:00 ET Summary Nominal GDP expanded an annualized 4.8% quarter-to-quarter and 5.8% year-over-year. Real GDP grew by 3.3% quarter-to-quarter and 3.1% year-over-year. The price index for domestic purchases rose 1.9% versus 2.9% last quarter. Bond market volat...
2024-01-29 17:15:00 ET Summary Both headline and core inflation (excluding food and energy prices) were 0.2 percent in December. Year-over-year, the figures were 2.6 percent and 2.9 percent, respectively. Stronger growth and falling inflation should signal to the Fed it’s t...
2024-01-29 12:25:00 ET Summary We think stock momentum can run for now as inflation cools and the Federal Reserve readies to cut rates. So we up our overall U.S. stocks view to overweight. Tech stocks led the S&P 500 to consecutive record highs last week. Robust U.S. Q4 GDP gr...
2024-01-29 09:24:00 ET Summary The economy has gained a head of steam since the FOMC’s December 13th meeting. Additional stronger-than-expected data this week. Q4 GDP was reported at 3.3%, down from Q3’s blistering 4.9%, but significantly above the 2.0% consensus est...
2024-01-29 03:58:00 ET Summary It was a narrow stock market in 2023, in terms of annual returns, with the so-called “Mag 7” leading the way. It’s still an ordinary bull market for the Nasdaq 100, with more room to the upside. The credit markets today seem ...
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2024-07-15 07:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-25 10:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-14 22:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...