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What we’ve seen this year is an exceptionally high rate of earnings growth across markets, but that’s not going to persist. It’ll start to moderate as we move into the second half of this year and slow further as we get into next year. And companies are going to b...
Since mid-May, the global rallies in Value and Size factors have cooled, and Quality has staged a robust comeback. The burst in reopening optimism last fall spurred a sharp rotation from Quality into Value, which is more heavily weighted to cyclically sensitive industries poised to pr...
Data on the rotation between small-cap growth and value stocks goes back decades. Looking back over 40 years, small value beat small growth about two-thirds of the time. Small-cap growth stocks had a bit of a spike, it's retesting and sort of rebuilding. For further details ...
The historic valuation gap between global Value and Growth stocks finally began its reversal. Despite pockets of outrageously overvalued Growth stocks being de-rated in Q1 and Q2, we still believe we are in a Growth bubble. Speculative behavior is rampant. We firmly believe that v...
It is impossible to avoid all risks. I attempt to identify as many risks as possible and manage these risks by addressing them. All assets have embedded risks, whether we can identify them or not. Should one invest in growth or value? In examining eleven time periods, the average grow...
In recent years, Value has underperformed other factors in global equity markets. However, the sources of Value performance are not identical. The purpose of this analysis is not to identify the reasons for the slump in Value, but to analyze its performance by region and the differenc...
The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...
Inflation will benefit some companies, be indifferent to others, and hurt the rest. To understand what separates winners from losers, we need to understand the physics of how inflation flows through a company’s income statement and balance sheet. The rate of change of inflation...
Cyclical sectors and value stocks began to lead equity market performance for the first time in years, commodity prices rocketed, and the 10-year Treasury yield doubled. Yield curves flattened and breakeven inflation rates fell, cyclical and value stocks lost ground against defensive ...
The breakneck pace of the COVID-driven decline and restart has made for one unprecedented economic and market cycle. We begin the second half positioned for recovery, while also safeguarding against potential bouts of market angst. We remain constructive on U.S. stocks as the economic...
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2024-07-05 09:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 23:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 15:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...