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2023-03-30 02:30:00 ET Summary If homeowners want to sell their home and buy a bigger or a smaller home, or a home in a different location, they would have to change from a 3% mortgage to a 6.5% mortgage. So they’re not selling, and they’re not buying - they’v...
2023-03-29 13:25:00 ET Summary The economy continued to grow in March, with inflation still unacceptably high, and the Federal Reserve tightening further. A solid job market is the most important factor for consumer spending. Despite this, February retail sales dipped by 0.4 perce...
2023-03-28 03:25:00 ET Summary Over the past year, bonds and mortgage-backed securities dropped in value as central banks hiked base rates in the banking system - that’s interest rate risk. The sound ones also rebound in value as central banks pause and then start cutting r...
2023-03-23 23:36:44 ET Summary It's been a busy two weeks for the global banking system and the central banks that oversee them. What are the key takeaways thus far. Who's next and who's last. Meet the new bank crisis NOT the same as the old bank crisis. This is not ...
2023-03-23 10:31:00 ET Summary After insisting in 2021 that the Fed would not even consider raising rates in 2022, Wednesday, Chair Powell reiterated their intention for more monetary tightening through 2023. With the lion’s share of global commodities and debt transacted i...
2023-03-22 01:51:00 ET Summary Across fixed income, the effects on credit markets have been acute. There's some volatility that might be exacerbated around maybe the lower quality end of the housing market as well as the commercial market. The crisis hasn't been averted yet. I...
2023-03-13 21:01:00 ET Summary You step from the Fed and then you look around the world, there is this uncertainty associated with where we are, with this inflationary environment that every country is dealing with. Certainly from a longer perspective, given sort of the post-GFC w...
2023-03-13 15:35:00 ET Summary One of the themes I’ve been discussing lately is how inflation risk has been evolving into credit risk. The banking bust we’re seeing now was sown during COVID. The COVID boom was the inevitable blow off top of the prior 10-year bull ma...
2023-03-13 05:00:00 ET Summary Some of the issues at SVB are shared by almost all banks. Most local banks hold loans to maturity so they are carrying them at cost. Stocks fell early in the week as short-term rates rose and another rate hike was priced in based on Powell’...
2023-03-13 02:13:15 ET Summary The VMBS provides exposure to agency-MBS securities. Historically, MBS have provided modest returns and low volatility. However, 2022 was especially bad for the VMBS ETF due to the portfolio's 6.9-year duration. Looking forward, I worry a 'higher...
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2024-07-25 10:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-05 09:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 15:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...