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Summary The S&P 500 Index has rebounded sharply off its previous low in October, closing up 14% on Feb. 17 since October’s trough. The market could continue to rally, of course. Running the numbers based on rolling 1-year return suggests there’s still a fair amount...
Summary The S&P 500 (SPX) retreated 0.3% from the previous week's close to reach a value of 4079.09 during the trading week ending on Friday, 17 February 2023. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tool's projection for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2023 rose to +2.5% from its pre...
Summary Why the U.S. economy continues to display polyurethane-like flexibility and resilience, despite encountering extraordinary shocks. How portfolios can also be built with flexibility and resilience in mind. Why high-quality fixed income assets are today a critical component of...
Summary One of the phrases making the rounds among the financial media chatterboxes this week has been “no landing”. The macro news has indeed given some cause for cheer relative to some of the more dour scenarios we’ve been looking at in the past few months. Wh...
Summary It’s clear that there is little reason for sell-side analysts to stick their neck and raise estimates, in this environment. The S&P 500’s YTD return as of Thursday night’s, February 16, 2023, close was +6.76%. It looks like 2023 could see flat revenu...
Summary One hypothesis we're currently evaluating behind the scenes is that the multiplier may have shifted to zero at the beginning of the year. Unlike changes in dividend expectations that are easy to identify, the factors that cause the dividend futures-based model's basic multiplier...
Summary Economic news has caused market participants to be looking the wrong way over these last 5 months. While news reports can act as a catalyst for market moves, the substance of the news is often unimportant in determining a directional bias. As long as highlighted support hold...
Summary The 5-year Treasury yield jumped 27 bps last week, from 3.66% the prior week to close, to 3.93% at this Friday’s close. This is after falling 30 bps in the first week of January ’23. The “estimated” S&P 500 earnings growth for 2023 (as a whole) ha...
Summary 2022 was a year where, suddenly, the value style of investing dramatically outperformed the growth style. Sector exposure is a detail useful to help in characterizing different index exposures. The S&P 500 Growth Index added Energy sector exposure due to strong price mom...
Summary Instead of bullish investors sticking with their mantra of 'Don’t Fight The Fed,' it is now a standoff between bullish investors and the Fed. While bullish investors cling to historical statistics about market returns, the problem is the Fed remains clear that it will not...
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2024-05-15 00:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 06:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-05 16:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...