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The defining characteristics of the economic outlook for 2022 could be more about the composition of global growth than its trend. Year 2022 will be marked by the Fed's tapering and fading fiscal stimulus. The potential for spread pick-up and ratings boosts in the structured credi...
Global economic growth will be slower but still above trend in 2022. This forecast should allow equities to outperform bonds. Inflation has yet to peak, but it will likely decline over the year and as a result any central bank tightening will be modest. 2021 was a year of rebound ...
In the sovereign space, we have a strong preference for BB- or B-rated sovereigns because of the valuation that’s currently offered. On the corporate side, we have a preference in between investment-grade and high-yield rated debt. On the residential side, fundamentals are ...
Taking an active approach in fixed income will be key to finding investment success in the upcoming year. In 2022, we expect the market narrative to transition to the traditional expansionary phase of the business cycle. We believe 2022 will be a strong year for “rising sta...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
In high yield, investors tend to think about it as a risky way to play fixed income. A traditional 60/40 portfolio generates somewhere about 8.7% annualized returns over the last few decades. We think investors should really look at high-yield investing as a way to de-risk their e...
November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
15 out of 24 CEF sectors positive on price and 6 out of 24 sectors positive on NAV last week. PCF and RIV rights offering results. Guggenheim mergers are completed. For further details see: Weekly Closed-End Fund Roundup: PCF, RIV Rights Offering Results, Guggenheim Merg...
The Fed confirmed that it will taper its asset purchase program starting later in November, while the Bank of England (BOE) fell just short of raising rates at its November meeting. 55% of managers expect inflation in the U.S. for the next 12 months to stand between 2.26% and 2.75%, w...
We’ve seen a lot of quantitative easing by the Fed. Rates are already at zero, and there’s been a lot of fiscal stimulus that’s been pumped into the system. And we think in this environment, given where valuations are overall, you’re better off leaning more...
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Invesco Advisers Announces Completion of Reorganization of Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities Fund into Closed-End Interval Fund PR Newswire ATLANTA , Nov. 1, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Invesco Advisers, Inc., a subsidiary of Invesco Ltd. (NYSE: IVZ), announced ...
Invesco Advisers Announces Payment of Dividend, Date of Upcoming Reorganization, Date of Ceasing of Trading and Related Matters for Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities Fund PR Newswire ATLANTA , Oct. 22, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- PAYMENT OF DIVIDEND...
Invesco Advisers Announces Final Results of Tender Offer, Date of Upcoming Reorganization, Date of Ceasing of Trading, Change in Dividend Payable Date and Related Matters for Invesco Dynamic Credit Opportunities Fund PR Newswire ATLANTA , Oct. 15, 2021 /PRNewswir...