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Summary The Federal Reserve has raised the Federal Funds Rate by 75 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Chairman Powell says they have the "resolve" to stay the course until the job is done. Terminal rate targets have now moved higher while expectations for the duration of...
Summary A scary chart that plots the combined market capitalizations of the world’s stock markets. We could only be 44% through this carnage using relative measures of the Global Financial Crisis. Over $3 trillion has been wiped out from the junk bond market. The av...
Summary Chairman Powell's press conference gave a message very different from the headlines you may be reading. I present a summary of the main points Chairman Powell repeated during the press conference. I summarize what the Fed's current policy means for stock investors and ...
Summary Expected long-run returns for most of the major asset classes continue to look relatively attractive after this year’s market declines, based on updates of models run by CapitalSpectator.com. Today’s revised estimates, based on numbers through October, show (...
Summary Inflation may remain elevated through mid-2023, but evidence is mounting that lower inflation is coming. Potential for lower inflation also means potential for lower rate hikes in the coming months. With odds of recession rising, stocks may see more downside pressure i...
Summary VOO has outperformed VTI throughout the past decade. But the situation was reversed during the decade that followed the Dot.com bust. We look at how VOO and VTI's stock allocations differ now. We explore similarities and differences between the market in 2001 and the m...
Summary There is no pre-determined speed for inflation to fall in this cycle. The Fed has assured us of no particular timeline, but its "dots" provide a framework. Looking at history, the Fed is not taking any of the necessary steps to corral inflation -despite the speed of it...
Summary US stocks led the October bounce. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund surged 8.1%. Commodities posted the second-best performance in October for the major asset classes, rising 6.2%. The Global Market Index recovered in October, registering its first monthly gain si...
Summary The housing inventory situation is misunderstood. There is a lack of existing home inventory but a growing pile of new home inventory. Total home inventory implies prices cannot fall, while new home inventory suggests prices will be falling within six months. This ...
Summary The value of the U.S. dollar continues as the U.S. remains the world's most accepted "safe haven" and the Federal Reserve continues to lead the world's fight against inflation. Right now, in the short-run, the strong dollar is causing some pain, but in the longer-run, a co...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...