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Summary The Federal Reserve continues to reduce the size of its securities portfolio and continues to reduce the amount of "excess reserves" in the banking system. These are connected with the rise in the Fed's policy rate of interest, but the longer-run focus needs to be on how low the...
Summary This morning's PCE report shows that the monthly rate of change for inflation continues to move in the right direction. It also shows that the Fed's year-end target of 4.8% for the core rate is way too high. The increase in the year-end target was the impetus for the increas...
Summary I scanned my U.S. Equity ETF Database for large-cap funds with average volatility, low fees, and high quality. I found 33 ETFs you can consider to be core holdings. This article summarizes selected fundamental metrics for all ETFs, highlighting the best ones to own based on dive...
Summary The picture for economic growth in the near future is relatively pessimistic, even if we are to avoid a recession. The Federal Reserve has projected that economic growth over the next five years or so may even be more dismal than that experienced in the 2010 decade. Furtherm...
Summary The S&P 500 Index is on the brink of a breakdown. S&P 500 is on the brink of a breakdown even though inflation has started to come down, as have interest rates and the dollar index, all positives. However, “Don’t fight the Fed” is still in play. ...
Summary VFMF selects U.S. stocks from all size segments based on recent price momentum, quality, and price. VFMF is actively-managed with a low 0.18% expense ratio. Interestingly, the strategy includes eliminating highly-volatile stocks. However, VFMF's current five-year beta is still h...
Summary As the Federal Reserve brings down the rate of inflation in the U.S. economy, more and more analysts are supporting a new 3.0 percent inflation target. Many people have been dissatisfied with the growth rate of the economy over the past decade or so, with the existing 2.0 percen...
Summary Markets continue to fall and trailing yields continue to rise. The average yield for the major asset classes ticked up to 4.50%, based on trailing data through Dec. 19, according to data from Morningstar.com. The future’s still uncertain, which implies that hedging yo...
Summary I recently raised the cash level in my personal portfolio to 25%. In a related article, I proposed that we were in "the 5th inning," to borrow a baseball metaphor. In that article, I featured the importance of diversification, and shared a recent Vanguard outlook that suggested ...
Summary The ability to predict the future of the economy has been seriously disrupted, so much so that the making of predictions of the future is almost useless. Consequently, the ability of policymakers to produce the appropriate policies is severely limited, the ability of policymaker...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...