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Summary The Global Market Index’s expected long-run performance held at 6.0% annualized in February, unchanged from last month, based on the average estimate for three models. The underlying components of GMI continue to post relatively strong forecasts vs. their respective curre...
Summary Despite hitting its highest levels since last August early last month, the U.S. stock market retreated for most of February. Tech was the only S&P 500 sector with a positive return last month, while energy took the biggest step back. Interest rates climbed in February, w...
Summary Stock and stock fund allocations rose 0.4 percentage points to 65.7%. Bond and bond fund allocations increased by 0.3 percentage points to 14.9%. Cash allocations declined by 0.7 percentage points to 19.4%. For further details see: February AAII Ass...
Summary Although every corner of risk assets took a hit last month, most asset classes still post gains year to date. Amid market expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to lift interest rates, SHV looks set for ongoing and incrementally higher gains in the months ahead. ...
Summary At the moment, investor activity in UPRO is not telling us much about what investors think about market direction. The last indication occurred at the October bottom when there was measurable cash flow into the fund. The Short Term Master Sentiment Indicator still points to ...
Summary While both long and most short leading indicators have turned negative, no recession has materialized yet, and in January a number of metrics showed renewed strength. There are three primary reasons why most coincident indicators haven’t rolled over yet. These include...
Summary Vanguard's brand is synonymous with broadly diversified passive index funds with the lowest possible expense ratios. This article serves as an updated guide to which of Vanguard's 81 ETFs best meet those objectives of simplicity, total market diversification, and low cost. Y...
Summary We recommend investors stay out of SH because of the high levels of bearish sentiment shown by our Master Sentiment Indicator, as well as bearish activity in SH itself. Buying levels in SH are still historically high, marking continued levels of unacceptable bearish sentiment. ...
Summary It's time to talk about ETFs. In this article, I highlight two of the best ETFs money can buy. While both are well-diversified US equity ETFs, one has a higher yield and high dividend growth. Given my view on macroeconomic developments, I believe investors should be overweig...
Summary More and more attention is being given to the possibility that our macroeconomic problems may be coming from the supply side of the equation, not the demand side. Government programs tend to prefer the demand side programs because they can be executed faster, work faster, and fa...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...