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2023-04-04 07:35:00 ET Summary You can find evidence in the inflation numbers for almost any proposition you choose and there is always uncertainty in the analytical effort. We tend to look at monthly and annual inflation. This is unfortunate – a month is really too short a...
2023-04-03 23:20:13 ET Summary March was a mostly bullish month for the US market. Not surprisingly, the financial sector suffered the biggest loss last month, although real estate also dropped sharply. International markets slightly underperformed the S&P 500 in March. ...
2023-04-03 18:33:00 ET Summary SPDR FTSE International Government Inflation-Protected Bond ETF, which rose 5.2%, more than recovering from the previous month’s loss. Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate Index Fund posted last month’s steepest loss, shedding 2.8%...
2023-04-03 16:19:28 ET Summary I discuss two of James Picerno’s posts (Part I & Part II) from last week. I conclude that a market uptrend began on March 30 and 31. The Bull Market, which began 14 years ago, still moves higher. Introduction On Mar...
2023-04-03 15:31:50 ET Summary The current world is a world of disequilibrium, one that has been distorted and discombobulated by government policies, supply chain problems, and other shocks. More and more analysts seem to be focusing upon what sector of the economy is going to co...
2023-04-02 02:57:16 ET Summary Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recess...
2023-04-01 08:00:00 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. The excruciatingly slow deterioration in consumer spending continues, still ...
2023-03-31 19:45:11 ET Summary Economic growth is going to be hard to come by, making for a difficult investment landscape that may last for a while. Given the fact that inflation hasn't been solved, the discussion on "rate cuts" is premature. The systemic issue that is in the...
2023-03-31 18:36:53 ET Summary Markets have survived another hit to the body. It was delivered by outlier hyper-aggressive regional banks with no anticipation of imminent capital disintermediation nor clue of fixed income risk management. Impending CPI and PCE data should start sh...
2023-03-31 05:05:00 ET Summary There are many reasons why a simple portfolio can be too simple and actually create complexity in your financial life. In the case of many one-stop funds, you can actually replicate the same basic holdings with two funds. This can create marginally m...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...