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2023-04-23 11:20:49 ET Summary Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recess...
2023-04-22 08:00:00 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Several coincident indicators, notably consumer spending, are extremely clos...
2023-04-21 10:52:25 ET Summary The story is that the Silicon Valley Bank failure is "the world's first Twitter-fueled bank run." The world of banking and finance has accelerated. Still, solutions to this problem have tended to focus on upgrading the current banking system so a...
2023-04-21 09:40:56 ET Summary The bears think they have the upper hand, as the consensus is extremely negative. The problem is that this market is telling us it wants to go higher over the coming 3-9 months. One important indicator, which was triggered in January, says the pr...
2023-04-20 17:58:11 ET Summary Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, increased 1.2 percentage points to 27.2%. Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, decreased 1.8 ...
2023-04-19 12:26:18 ET Summary Morgan Stanley did not perform in the first quarter of 2023 as well as it did one year ago, but it still turned in a 12.4 percent return on equity. The business model that James Gorman, chief executive officer of Morgan Stanley, created for the bank ...
2023-04-18 16:44:55 ET Summary Bank of America Corporation posted a very strong first quarter and The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. did not do too badly. Bank of America continues to show the results of quite a few years of Brian Moynihan's leadership, producing a very strong 12.5 per...
2023-04-17 17:39:50 ET Summary The news on Silicon Valley Bank and its problems came to the world on March 8, 2023, and things changed. It is interesting that three major financial markets changed direction that day and still seem to believe that in the near future, the Federal Re...
2023-04-17 16:03:00 ET Summary Vanguard Developed Markets Index Fund rose 2.1% in last week’s trading. Vanguard European Stock Index Fund is up 14.4% year-to-date, more than double the 2023 gain for Vanguard Pacific Stock Index Fund. For the one-year trend, developed ma...
2023-04-15 08:00:00 ET Summary High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Importantly, consumer spending last week made a new 2.5-year low, accor...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...