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2023-07-17 17:51:33 ET Summary Markets roared ahead by over two percent on the week on the back of softer than expected June CPI and PPI reports. Investors are signaling they believe the Federal Reserve will achieve the much hoped for "soft landing." There are two good reasons...
2023-07-17 17:38:15 ET Summary In all my years in this career and in studying markets, I have never seen recency bias as strong as it is today. Recency bias is a psychological phenomenon where individuals give more significance to recent events or information than those from the p...
2023-07-17 03:50:33 ET Summary Measuring investor sentiment is important since 50% or more of a stock's price move is driven by emotion alone - by fear and greed. Metrics that measure investor bullishness are not yet at levels that historically occur before a major price decline. ...
2023-07-15 08:00:00 ET Summary The high frequency weekly indicators suggest that a recession is imminent, with all three primary systems indicating a near-term economic downturn. Consumer spending and tax withholding are of particular importance; both consumer spending measures (R...
2023-07-14 11:47:58 ET Summary The Federal Reserve continues on its path of quantitative tightening and higher interest rates. However, other central banks around the world seem to be out-doing the Fed and, as a consequence, the value of the U.S. dollar has fallen. The Federal...
2023-07-13 20:00:24 ET Summary Government inflation data continues to show disinflation occurring, but crucial core CPI rates are too high for the Fed. Modern inflation data shows inflation already under control at only 2.47% due to using current housing data. Small caps shoul...
2023-07-13 14:45:13 ET Summary I do not believe the bear market is over (and yes - my own signals and strategies are currently long equities). A bull market is ONLY known with hindsight when you’ve taken out the prior inflation-adjusted high and have officially ended a draw...
2023-07-13 14:41:48 ET Summary Equities rallied on a better-than-expected CPI report Wednesday and the lowest rise in inflation in some 27 months. However, the Federal Reserve is still likely to raise rates again later this month, and the yield curve remains deeply inverted. C...
2023-07-12 18:20:24 ET Summary Inflation for June rose 3.1% YoY, the lowest since March 2021, and core inflation increased 4.9% YoY, the lowest since October 2021, delighting investors. The downward pressure on headline CPI is due to a steep decline in energy prices, the strongest...
2023-07-12 18:02:30 ET Summary The S&P 500's gains are becoming less reliant on the tech sector, indicating a broader and healthier rally in the U.S. stock market. The Dow Jones Composite Average, which includes large U.S. companies, shows increased confidence in the U.S. econ...
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2024-07-18 07:15:00 ET Investing in stocks can be challenging, especially when it comes to selecting individual companies. The process requires extensive research, constant monitoring, and carries substantial risk. For those seeking a simpler approach, Vanguard offers a compelling solut...
2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...