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2024-02-15 17:27:26 ET Summary The CPI didn't decline as much as expected, causing the market to drop. Fears spread that the Fed won't cut rates for longer and might even raise rates to combat resurgent inflation. The recent bump in the CPI is likely transitory, and more signi...
2024-02-15 15:25:35 ET Summary Volatility has been dormant, but the skew index suggests increased risk of a large downside movement in the stock market. The S&P 500 Index is trading above its moving averages, which could exacerbate a sell-off if broken. Banking issues, par...
2024-02-14 10:11:57 ET Summary Long leading indicators provide insights into the likely state of the economy one year from now. Corporate bond yields, housing, credit conditions, and real retail sales per capita are positive indicators. The yield curve and real money supply ar...
2024-02-13 17:22:43 ET Summary The S&P 500 Index is up 5.5% in 2024, led by mega-cap tech stocks, while small caps are down slightly. Large caps' Q4 earnings beat rate is 72% with 50% of firms beating on the top line, cementing an end to last year's earnings recession. The...
2024-02-13 12:30:45 ET Summary January core CPI inflation exceeded expectations and is well above the Fed's target of 2%. Monthly core CPI numbers have been rising since June 2023, indicating a possible inflationary spike. Disinflationary process may continue until June 2024, ...
2024-02-13 11:00:37 ET Summary The January CPI came in above expectations, adding uncertainty to the path for Fed rate cuts. The risk is that inflation may be reaccelerating undermining the narrative for that has fueled stock market gains in recent months. We believe the setup...
2024-02-13 10:00:58 ET Summary Overall consumer prices were up 3.1% in January from a year earlier, a lower pace of growth than last month but still higher than expected. Core prices also remained tame in January, up 3.9%. Falling inflation in categories such as gasoline likel...
2024-02-12 13:43:38 ET Summary The Fed's monetary policy was the reason for the rise and subsequent crash of top tech stocks in recent years. Despite recent run-ups, high-quality stocks are supported by earnings, sales growth, and profitability potential. The Fed is likely to ...
2024-02-10 08:00:00 ET Summary Long leading indicators show improvement, with corporate profits nearing their 2023 average. Stock prices reach another all-time high, while commodity and gas prices remain positive. Weakness in tax withholding is a concern among coincident indic...
2024-02-09 20:50:00 ET Summary Vanguard Total US Stock Market Index Fund (VTI) is up 3.2% so far this year. That’s a stellar return, assuming it continued through the end of the year. Declining vacancies in office properties in the work-from-home era has become a weight on ...
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2024-06-16 13:30:00 ET Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) blasted to all-time highs on Wednesday. Apple is up over 14% in the last month -- the recent rally primarily fueled by a positive response to its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is inte...
2024-06-03 23:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-02 03:45:00 ET Are you dreaming of becoming a self-made millionaire, but you aren't a professional-level athlete or artist, and your salary is just average? You're not alone. Fortunately, even without any particular sought-after skills or an extraordinary income, it's still poss...