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2023-03-27 11:20:00 ET Summary Central banks confront the growth-inflation trade-off, with the Federal Reserve seeing recession but no rate cuts. We agree - and prefer inflation-linked bonds. Bank stocks remained under pressure last week. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield slid furt...
2023-03-20 10:45:00 ET Summary More financial cracks from rapid rate hikes are emerging. We stay underweight equities, downgrade credit and prefer short-term government bonds for income. Bank troubles on both sides of the Atlantic hit the sector's shares last week. Short-term bond...
2023-03-13 05:00:00 ET Summary Some of the issues at SVB are shared by almost all banks. Most local banks hold loans to maturity so they are carrying them at cost. Stocks fell early in the week as short-term rates rose and another rate hike was priced in based on Powell’...
Summary With the Federal Reserve approaching the tail end of an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle, investors have been bracing for a hard landing. The stock market has stabilized and risen since last October (S&P +13.7%) but has also hit a temporary air pocket last month (-2.6%)...
Summary Vanguard's brand is synonymous with broadly diversified passive index funds with the lowest possible expense ratios. This article serves as an updated guide to which of Vanguard's 81 ETFs best meet those objectives of simplicity, total market diversification, and low cost. Y...
Summary I think everyone can agree that stocks and bonds sold off last year because interest rates rose. Interest rates have certainly risen of late but they are still below the peaks of last year and almost unchanged since stocks made their low on October 12, 2022. One of the thing...
Summary Canadian inflation is decelerating, but jobs and spending remain strong. The full impact of interest rates hikes may not be felt yet. TD Asset Management's Alexandra Gorewicz says there may be a case to hold rates for now. Strong economic data has some inve...
Summary The Federal Reserve’s rate hike campaign over the past year has trimmed this spread to below 2%. Even during the 1970s and 1980s, when inflation averaged over 6% for two decades, dividend growth kept pace with inflation. For much of the last decade, equities comfortab...
Summary Real yields on 10-Year TIPS have recently surged to 1.5%, the highest level since 2010. The 10-Year breakeven inflation rate is still hovering between 2.25-2.50%. Wall Street does not appear concerned right now about inflation over the long term. Numerous economic data r...
Summary Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are among the most attractive asset classes at present based on their expected returns relative to their downside risk. With a real yield of 1.9%, the Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF offers relatively strong returns ...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...