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2024-02-13 22:57:00 ET Summary One of the issues of an interest rate focussed blog is that bond markets can settle into rather uneventful extended range trading dynamics. The 10-year breakeven (top panel) has settled into a trading range after a certain amount of excitement around...
2024-01-24 11:29:00 ET Summary Many investors remain overweight cash, but markets have begun to price for a substantial decline in short-term interest rates. The Asset Allocation Committee (“the AAC”) therefore thinks it is time to deploy liquidity, locking in bond y...
2024-01-09 07:04:48 ET Summary Over the last quarter, the DJIA price has been volatile due to changes in the Dividend Discount Value, which is strongly influenced by the 30-year T bond yield. October's rise in the 30-year T bond yield above 4.5% caused a substantial drop in the DD...
2024-01-03 00:45:20 ET Summary Soft landing occurs when the Federal Reserve curbs inflation without causing high unemployment or negative GDP growth. Achieving a soft landing is challenging, with the Fed successfully engineering it only twice out of nine tightening cycles. Gol...
2023-12-31 08:25:00 ET Summary The latest calculation of the PCE Index shows a downward trend in inflation, with the year-over-year growth rate at 2.6%. The Fed is expected to slash interest rates next year, leading to celebrations in the stock and bond markets. The markets ha...
2023-12-23 00:18:31 ET Summary We gave you three reasons last time to hold an optimistic outlook on PotlatchDeltic. Those have played out and the stock has done well. We tell you why we are now shifting to a Sell rating. On our last piece on PotlatchDeltic Corporatio...
2023-12-21 12:06:48 ET More on Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF VTIP: Real Yields Rise From The ZIRP Ashes Revisiting Potential TIPS Returns In The Decade Ahead Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Secur...
2023-12-09 09:15:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 199,000 new payroll gains and a drop in the unemployment rate from 3.9% to 3.7%. The upcoming Consumer Price Index report and Federal Open Market Committee decision on interest rates will be closely watched. ...
2023-12-08 02:30:00 ET Summary Recent US inflation data shows that core PCE is close to the Fed's 2% target, indicating that the Fed may be done with its hiking cycle. The peak in the 10-year Treasury may have already been reached, with a 70 basis point decline in November. Th...
2023-12-06 12:15:00 ET Summary We are likely at the end of the Fed’s hiking cycle, but don’t anticipate rate cuts until the second half of 2024. The shape of the yield curve and the trajectory of growth will be key drivers of returns. Investors piled into cash in 202...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...