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Investors in the [[TIP]] ETF - an index fund that holds the full range of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities - got a big surprise this week: a stunning 6.2% drop in value amid a what appeared major "safe haven" Treasury rally. Investors value TIPS for their safety. They are a Treasury s...
By Paul Wong The U.S. Federal Reserve (the "Fed") made a surprise interest rate cut of 50 basis points on Tuesday, March 3, and gold bullion closed the week higher, above $1,670. This follows gold's February breakout from the critical $1,585/$1,600 overhead resistance range that we have hi...
Yes, I know that that is CPI inflation, and the PCE inflation rate (1.74%) has undershot the Fed's 2.0% over the past 4 years. That's not my point. Rather, I'd like to revisit some criticism I got in the comment section over the past 4 years, when I began to argue that TIPS spreads seemed sl...
The Coronavirus (Covid-19) is spreading, and panic is spreading throughout global markets. Unfortunately, it's difficult to know whether this will be a true pandemic or just a panic. We'll know more before too long, but I was encouraged Tuesday morning to read in a Reuters article that ...
The U.S. Treasury will offer $14 billion in a new 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security at auction Thursday. This is CUSIP 912828Z37 , and the coupon rate and real yield to maturity will be determined by the auction. I'm not likely to be a buyer, even though 10-year issues are the "...
While many financial "experts" have been declaring U.S. inflation dead for years, it surged back to life in 2019 - rising 2.3%, the highest number since 2011. While 2.3% isn't scary-high, it is on the high end of moderate inflation. The official number for U.S. inflation is the Consumer Pric...
Photo Source Despite strong stock returns in 2019, better than expected corporate earnings, and the lowest unemployment rate in 50 years, there are several areas of uncertainty across financial markets today. The most recent flare-up of tensions between the U.S. and Iran following an airst...
Note: This article is a co-production between The Macro Teller ("TMT"), moderator of Macro Trading Factory ("MTF"), and The Fortune Teller ("TFT"), moderator of Wheel of Fortune ("WoF"). Summary It's not easy to be super optimistic about the stock market ( SPY , DIA , QQQ , IWM ) at...
What do you expect to be the key driver of stock market performance over the course of 2020? I believe the world debt crisis will finally "break the bank" in the foreseeable future. It's amazing that per capita world debt has surged above $200,000 (I wrote about this in SA last year). Worl...
Investment-grade corporate bonds had a stellar year, rising more than 17% throughout 2019, based on the total return of Corporate Bond ETF ( LQD ). Investment-grade corporate bonds certainly have a spot in a balanced portfolio, in addition to less risky Treasury bonds. Historically, when ec...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...