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With ongoing and significant monetary and fiscal support, deflation is likely off the table at this point. If the successes of the rollout of the vaccines and fiscal stimulus are not adequate, the employment situation could stagnate. High asset, commodity, and ultimately consumer ...
Prices in government bond markets around the world dropped this week and yields soared as investors focused ever more closely on the potential for inflation to come roaring back in the second half of the year, if not sooner. If the Fed is truly content to sit back and watch intermedia...
Stocks are rising on March 1 despite more inflation data. The rally on March 1 isn't likely to last and should not be trusted. There should be plenty more inflationary data as March moves on. For further details see: This Isn't The Time To Buy The Dip
Bonds were selling off, stocks were selling off, commodities were rallying. What really happened last week was the market's real growth expectations improved. What investors should have learned last week is that diversification does indeed work and it works when you need it most. ...
Bond yields are rising which is okay if a rising economy is the cause. They also need to rise slowly as to not shock markets. Well, bond yields began to rise too quickly last week and investors began to panic, sending the stock market lower. The CNN Fear and Greed index is at a Ne...
While November 10 represented Pfizer's "stunning" vaccine announcement, it was also around that time jobless claims bottomed out therefore rising economic retrenchment risks. In early January, reflation was given another boost, allegedly, by the results of the Georgia Senate elections...
The big news of the week was the spike in interest rates, which according to the press reports I read, "came out of nowhere". Last week's economic reports were mostly positive and better than expected. US stocks took a breather last week but global stocks managed a small gain. ...
Despite low yields, bonds can continue to diversify risk in broad portfolios. Although the stock-bond correlation has been weak in recent decades, fixed income returns have been positive in nearly all recessions since 1952, even in periods when stock-bond correlations were positive. ...
Economic growth is returning to almost every country in the world, and almost all commodity prices are rising. The thing to worry about is the direction of fiscal policy, which will almost certainly bring us higher taxes, increased regulatory burdens, and more expensive energy. Fo...
Risk assets continued their historic run last week with EM equities and commodities leading the way. Bonds sold off as the 10-year Treasury note yield broke above 1.20% for the first time since the lows last spring. The 10-year TIPS yield closed the week at 1.02%, near the all-tim...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...