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As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
We stay invested for now as a new virus strain and European COVID surge are hurting risk sentiment. Any delay of the powerful restart now means more later. News of the contagious new strain triggered a sell-off in risk assets. Jerome Powell was nominated to stay on as Fed chair, heral...
The S&P 500 was down 2.2% last week, which, in normal times, would be barely worth a mention. But in today’s speculative market, that qualifies as a correction. The first two quarters of this year were a big rebound, but last quarter was a bummer with the emergence of the D...
InvestorPlace - Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Inflation is causing issues for some Americans, and that is causing investors to look for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to buy that will benefit from inflation. In October, consumer prices rose 6.2%, their highest in...
Inflation is high and rising. Investors want ways to hedge and profit from rising inflation. A couple of ETFs are simple, effective inflation hedges. An overview of some of the best of these follows. For further details see: Best Inflation Hedge ETFs
Most central bankers appear to attribute the elevated inflation prints (at least partially) to global supply chain bottlenecks and associated scarcity of supply. Looking over the cyclical horizon, we see two key swing factors – inflation expectations and wages – and they...
At the November FOMC meeting, the Fed officially announced that it would begin tapering its bond purchase program, starting in mid-November. When the Fed began tapering its QE3 program over the course of 2014, the coupon supply from the U.S. Treasury was stable, leading to an increase...
We had a blowout CPI print in the United States last week. Forward breakeven inflation rates have risen since the pandemic lows but are still not above the levels seen in the early 2010s. If people were really worried about inflation, they would be bidding up protection versus fai...
It feels as if the 'Santa Claus Rally' has started early this year. If history is of any indication, we're due for another ~4% over the next 8 weeks. Nonetheless, things are getting more and more bubbly, and the combination of Tapering, higher inflation, and higher rates is anything b...
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2024-07-15 10:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-03 23:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-25 01:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...