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Is a Fed neutral interest rate enough to pause further hikes? How is Europe coping with its natural gas shortage? China lifts tech restrictions and supports property developers. On this week's Market Week in Review episode, Research Analyst Emily Zhao interviews Investme...
Last week was action-packed and it’s not likely to ease up with attention now shifting from the Fed and the “technical recession” in the US to the labour market. Various officials have highlighted the strength of the labour market when explaining why the US isn...
Special purpose acquisition vehicles were relatively unused until the firehose of pandemic liquidity spurred Wall Street capital markets teams into action, forming hundreds of companies to raise billions of dollars of equity in these so-called blank-check offerings. There are still ov...
Markets are giddy about a looming recession and a potential Fed pivot. The Fed sees rates rising to 3.8% by the end of 2023. The market sees rate cuts starting in March. The FOMC meeting wasn't as dovish as the market wants to make it seem. The Fed raised rates by anothe...
Rather than making money harder to get, the U.S. government needs to focus on the other side of the demand vs. supply equation. The Fed’s prescription is to suppress demand (borrowing and spending) by raising interest rates. In March 2022, the Federal Reserve tackled inflat...
I doubt the NBER will conclude we are in a recession, given the consistent strength in consumer spending and the labor market. The negative print in the second quarter was due to inventory adjustments from last year's build. If we avoid a recession, as I have asserted, history sug...
Today’s GDP reading officially shows two quarters of negative GDP. A lot of this talk about recessions ignores the fact that housing is a big slow moving sector. The Fed appears to be pivoting towards a more dovish stance and that’s part of why stocks have been bounc...
Initial jobless claims have started to rise with the monthly average in July around 40% higher than the average in March. Three regional Fed PMIs (Philadelphia, Texas, and New York) are seeing declines in the Future Employment component of the survey. Job openings fell by -600,000...
After reaching the highest level in over a month last week, bullish sentiment fell back down to 27.7%. At 40%, bearish sentiment is at the lowest level since the first week of June, with this week being the third sequential decline in a row. Neutral sentiment has risen to 32.2%, t...
Initial jobless claims continue to disappoint. Although this week’s release technically fell down to 256K, it was from a 10K upwardly revised number of 261K last week. The pandemic was a volatile time period for jobless claims data as readings rose into the millions. July t...
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2024-07-25 13:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-05 12:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 15:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...