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2023-04-02 05:04:00 ET Summary Over the past several weeks a remarkable shift in the market’s perception of growth, inflation and policy trajectories means investors should consider calling the market equivalent of a time-out to reassess portfolios. Importantly, as the Fed&...
2023-03-31 06:30:00 ET Summary Slower growth and tighter financial conditions could mean a lower terminal rate and bring forward the timing of the first rate cut. While front-end yields have declined in recent weeks, they are still near multi-decade highs and may remain here as in...
2023-03-31 03:30:00 ET Summary Pricing the damage: Financial cracks and economic damage are emerging from the fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. What matters: how much damage is in the price and our assessment of market risk sentiment. Rethinking bonds: We see higher yield...
2023-03-29 09:56:15 ET Summary I think that the Fed will take a wait-and-see approach after its 25-basis point hike in May 2023. My base case scenario for 2023 is a mild recession. There are risks to the real economy if lending standards reduce new loans and deprive smaller busine...
2023-03-28 21:59:00 ET Summary The global economy is in a moderate slowdown, with financial markets being whipsawed by tensions in the banking sectors of the US and Europe in the final weeks of the quarter. Thus far in 2023, global equity markets have proven to be resilient in the...
2023-03-28 13:20:00 ET Summary Profiling trends through pairs of ETFs continue to tell a story of failed breakouts and frustrated expectations. The trend barely wavered for US stocks over shares in emerging markets. The rebound in risk-on sentiment is also clear from the renew...
2023-03-27 13:12:00 ET Summary Nearly all the components of the major asset classes posted gains last week, based on a set of proxy ETFs. Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund rose 2.6%, the ETF’s first weekly gain in the past three. Nearly all the primary markets ...
2023-03-26 05:16:00 ET Summary The regulatory intervention of Silicon Valley Bank stopped corporate and financial sector issuance altogether for four working days. The most notable sign of market resilience was a highly successful USD1.8 billion 10 and 31-year sale by Republic of ...
2023-03-21 17:51:00 ET Summary For most of the last two years, the dollar steadily strengthened against most major currencies with little interruption. While higher rates extinguished risk appetite for investors and sent the dollar soaring, emerging market equities continued their...
2023-03-20 10:45:00 ET Summary More financial cracks from rapid rate hikes are emerging. We stay underweight equities, downgrade credit and prefer short-term government bonds for income. Bank troubles on both sides of the Atlantic hit the sector's shares last week. Short-term bond...
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2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-26 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...