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This article compares the recent bond market sell-off versus the 2013 "taper tantrum". Both sell-offs were in part driven by markets re-calibrating expectations of less accommodative monetary policy. Now, of similar length, the two periods also had fairly similar asset class retur...
The economic restart has lifted commodity prices. Beyond that, we see structural trends leading to a divergence of fortunes in different commodities. The International Monetary Fund has raised its global growth forecast to 6% in 2021. U.S. stocks hit record highs and yields traded bel...
In recent months, we've received many questions about how we expect emerging markets will perform once the Federal Reserve does begin removing monetary stimulus. We believe once the market becomes comfortable with global vaccine rollouts and herd immunity, we will see a sustained resu...
For a second week, American shares were the top performer for the major asset classes in last week’s risk-on rally, based on a set of proxy ETFs through Friday’s close (Apr. 9). Nearly every market rallied last week, except inflation-linked Treasuries and emerging market...
The PPI report last week didn't make a ripple in the markets, but the commentariat was all aTwitter about inflation and economic overheating and whether Powell might raise in rates in 2 years or 3. The market was not impressed. The 10-year Treasury yield moved all of about 1 basis poi...
Emerging markets saw a positive first quarter overall, although pandemic challenges remain an overhang on the global economy. We think EMs will likely stay resilient in the face of new challenges. We expect a sharp earnings rebound in EMs this year from a low base last year. E...
EM value multiples have remained stagnant and near single-digit numbers over the last six years - tough to find in the U.S. - while growth multiples have been rising. It is interesting to see how the S&P 500 Index’s P/E ratio has followed a similar path as the EM growth sto...
A year has now passed since the correction of March 2020, as markets first appreciated the implications of a global pandemic. With continued weakness in developed markets, we have seen a continuance of unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus. The concept of a world-leading emer...
Value has underperformed Growth since 2016. Does the value outperformance continue? Be sure and own some value and non-momentum in your portfolios, even though large-cap growth may not be as out-of-favor as happened between 2000 and 2007. For further details see: Style B...
Global PMI employment index at second-highest since May 2019 as firms seek to boost capacity. Job gains fueled by rising backlogs of work and brighter outlook. Broad-based developed word job market strength contrasts with stalling emerging market employment. For further deta...
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2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-26 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...