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New therapies to prevent serious illness are promising but we should expect a focus on COVID and a return to normal life to continue in 2022. The seized gears of the supply chain caused many to speculate that the world would move manufacturing away from China or even onshore productio...
Easing global growth weighs on exports and commodities. Expectations of higher interest rates in developed economies, stronger dollar and rising inflation put pressure on EM central banks to tighten. These factors pose notable risks to EM growth in 2022. For further details ...
The short-term correction has probably not ended yet. Macroeconomic indicators signal further upside for stocks despite short-term correction potential. The Fed could face tough challenges with its loose monetary stance sooner than many expect. For further details see: B...
Global economic growth will be slower but still above trend in 2022. This forecast should allow equities to outperform bonds. Inflation has yet to peak, but it will likely decline over the year and as a result any central bank tightening will be modest. 2021 was a year of rebound ...
I share key insights and top picks and pans from seven great investors of our time. There is diversity of opinion, but some agreement on crucial investment themes. These include a long-term decline in the dollar, persistent inflation, poor long-term Treasury returns, speculative e...
The US rebound from the Q3 slowdown is in full bloom. The economy certainly looks like it is on solid ground right now. So, why in the world are bonds rallying? The 10-year Treasury yield fell 10 basis points on Friday after the payroll report. The movements in bond markets today ...
If genius is a bull market, it’s been easy to look smart in recent years by holding a multi-asset-class portfolio. But there are hints that the bull run for risk-adjusted performance may be peaking for globally diversified strategies. GMI’s Sharpe 3-year Sharpe ratio...
Emerging market equities offer investors cheap valuations, strong growth prospects, and potential market-beating returns. VWO is a particularly simple, cheap, and effective emerging market equities index ETF. An overview of the fund follows. For further details see: VWO:...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
The decade after the Great Financial Crisis of 2007–09 brought significant changes in the volume and composition of capital flows in the global economy. This article considers the implications of such a metamorphosis of finance for capital flows to emerging market economies. ...
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2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-26 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...