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With the Fed ready to raise rates, most likely for a series of increases, investors should be aware of how various funds did under similar circumstances. I examined the returns of 11 representative funds during the Fed's previous rate hiking cycles to see how they did when these rates...
The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 2.5% in US-dollar terms last year. In contrast, the MSCI World Index gained 18.5%, helped by strong US returns. China’s 2021 woes stemmed from a combination of shrinking credit availability, acute debt in the property sector and restrictive ...
The outlook for demand growth remains uncertain. Developed world trends varied somewhat, reflecting the timing of the Omicron wave and differing supply chain trends. Output across both manufacturing and services was often constrained by ongoing supply chain delays. For furth...
2022 has already started with a sharp reversal away from mega-cap and growth and toward value and high-dividend strategies. The MSCI World gained 7.77% over the quarter: the best quarter of 2021 and the sixth quarter of positive performance since March 2020’s nadir. Researc...
Stocks and bonds sold off in January as markets repriced for a more aggressive pace of central bank tightening and increased pressures on the global earnings recovery. Tech and other pricey high-growth stocks tend to underperform in periods of rising interest rates. Value returns ...
For investors who want to earn a reasonable return without taking excessive risks, diversification still works, and we think you’re going to need more of it this year. The weighing of the high-flyers is not over. Commodities had another good week, and the 1-year return is getti...
The inverse relationship between prices and yields is at least useful. And so it’s been since our last update on trailing yields for the major asset classes via ETF proxies. The range of trailing yields has widened for the underlying fund components, ranging from a low of 0.95%...
The downturn was dramatic, but no less expected after the hefty increase in previous months. Expecting risk-adjusted performance to ease in the near-term future is a reasonable guesstimate. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio design. ...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...
Commodities were the upside outlier last month, offering substantial ballast to sliding prices elsewhere for most of the world’s markets. Stocks (VWO) and bonds (EMLC) in emerging markets sidestepped January’s selling with modest gains for the month. US stocks (VTI) ...
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2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 08:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-26 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...