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In 2022, we have extreme uncertainty around the fundamental economic environment, the policy response, inflation and the response of policymakers. Although we are cautiously optimistic on the inflationary trajectory, when you look at the relatively low rate environment still, you ...
Russia supplies natural gas to Europe, and in the event of US sanctions, this could impact Europe. But there are so many LNG ships in the Atlantic right now that lease rates have collapsed, so Russian threats to cut off Europe’s gas may not be much of a threat. The other big th...
Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...
The emerging markets index has gotten much more tech-heavy, whereas people have always thought of it as cyclical. Technology makes up almost 40%, while energy/materials have shrunk down to 10-12% of the index. China is becoming a larger part of the index at around 35%, and that’...
One of our favorite EMFX price charts features bullish breadth divergence. A major sentiment reset in EM stocks could be fuel for better emerging market equity performance. Higher commodity prices are a tailwind for many EM nations. For further details see: EMFX Pointing...
Medeiros: High inflation, high interest rates, and strong commodity prices have resulted in a shift to value and away from high growth emerging market technology. Unlike the rest of the world, China was in a tightening stance in 2021 in an effort to curb excesses in the property marke...
The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 2.5% in US-dollar terms last year. In contrast, the MSCI World Index gained 18.5%, helped by strong US returns. China’s 2021 woes stemmed from a combination of shrinking credit availability, acute debt in the property sector and restrictive ...
The outlook for demand growth remains uncertain. Developed world trends varied somewhat, reflecting the timing of the Omicron wave and differing supply chain trends. Output across both manufacturing and services was often constrained by ongoing supply chain delays. For furth...
2022 has already started with a sharp reversal away from mega-cap and growth and toward value and high-dividend strategies. The MSCI World gained 7.77% over the quarter: the best quarter of 2021 and the sixth quarter of positive performance since March 2020’s nadir. Researc...
Stocks and bonds sold off in January as markets repriced for a more aggressive pace of central bank tightening and increased pressures on the global earnings recovery. Tech and other pricey high-growth stocks tend to underperform in periods of rising interest rates. Value returns ...
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2024-07-15 14:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-25 17:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 18:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...