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The IMF becomes the latest mainstream organization to abandon the recovery. It wasn't really much of one to begin with, mostly just the hope that an uptick in growth would lead to the long sought, and necessary, completion. Globally synchronized growth in 2017 was supposed to mean a plausible ...
By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department, and Fabio Natalucci, Deputy Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department In the United States, the ratio of corporate debt to GDP is at record-high levels. In several Europe...
By Daniel Lacalle Liquidity injections and zero interest rate policies disguise risk and may give a false sense of security. This risk could not be more evident today. Not only have we seen large downgrades to consensus growth estimates and central banks' expectations of GDP and inflation,...
This episode I talk with Alex Barrow, Co-Founder and Chief Macro Strategist of Macro Ops. We discuss the major moves that are shaping up in the global macro space. In this episode we touch on the dollar, bonds, metals, inflation, inverted yield curve, China, $YTRA and equity indexes. ...
The Federal Reserve is poised to revamp rules overseeing foreign banks that are expected to require some of them to boost reserves of easy-to-sell assets to act as a buffer during downturns, Bloomberg reports. More news on: The Toronto-Dominion Bank, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank...
Next week, the 2019 Spring Meeting of the International Monetary Fund ((IMF)) and the World Bank will take place in Washington, in this 75th year since the birth of the two institutions. Christine Lagarde, the IMF's managing director, speaking on Tuesday at the US Chamber of Commerce , offe...
By Ashwin Alankar, Ph.D. Transcript Ashwin Alankar: What has transpired, really, through the course of 2019 year to date is all the forces that we were afraid that may push economies into recession have disappeared. China-U.S. trade negotiations are going better than expected. Earnings...
The Reserve Bank of India ((RBI)) cut its benchmark money rate for the second straight meeting. Reducing its repo rate by 25 bps, down to 6%, the central bank once gripped by political turmoil has certainly shifted gears. Former Governor Urjit Patel was essentially removed (he resigned) in Dec...
Original Post By Stuart Burns Sea freight has to be one of the most cost-effective means of transporting goods over long distances ever invented. Even with increasing ocean freight rates, it is often the case it costs as much to ship from Calcutta to London as it does to then clear a...
This morning we learned that US private payrolls posted another disappointing month in March as the job market continued to slow, and Deutsche Bank analysts warn that order backlog growth at Caterpillar (CAT) - maker of earth movers and construction equipment and global-growth bellwether - a...