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On Tuesday, May 7 th , U.S. markets freaked out because of the fear that there might be a trade war looming. The NASDAQ ( QQQ ) dropped by a bit more than 2% and the VIX jumped from about 15 to a daily high of 21.5, before settling back to close at about 20. The near-term options, represented ...
After the significant correction that took stock prices appreciably lower during the final three months of 2018, stocks made back all of their losses over the first four months of 2019. The E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract rose to a slightly higher high at the end of April as the Fed backed...
The S&P 500 closed within one point of September 2018 all-time last Friday. You'd have to think "everyone" is watching what happens this week. I wouldn't be surprised to see a pullback here since the S&P 500 usually takes a few tries to poke through a longer-term high. Market Bread...
Market Intro Econoday Economic Calendar: Q1 GDP Yada, yada, or so respond US stocks ( SPY , DIA , QQQ ) to the strong Q1 GDP report, though Russell 2000 ( IWM ) is up about three quarters of a percent in Friday trade. CNBC: Fri 1:52PM EST Even the 10-Yr US Treasury Note ( IEF )...
In Q4, fear reasserted itself as the dominant cognitive principle. It wasn't the first time that's happened post-crisis, but it was one of the more acute episodes of insanity becoming contagious. The US economy wasn't on the verge of falling into recession on any conceivable metric and whi...
There are a number of factors that make the current mania in risk assets unique. Most notable may be the breadth of extreme overvaluation not just within the equity market but across a number of other asset classes. The incredible reach for yield we have seen, driven by the lowest interest rat...
By Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki and Chris Marx Global stocks rebounded in the first quarter, but the ride was rocky. Even in a rising market, volatility is a clear and present danger. With so many risks clouding the outlook, we believe that investors should focus on generating a smoother ...
By Erik Norland The Northern Hemisphere, home to 90% of the world's population, is celebrating the arrival of spring. But, be warned: "winter" is coming, and not just for fans of HBO blockbuster Game of Thrones . After a multi-year Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening cycle that turned the yi...
The wild stock market action during the fourth quarter of 2018 has faded in the rearview mirror of market participants. The panic that gripped many investors during the final three months of 2018 is now heralded as another in a long series of buying opportunities cementing the overall market p...
A Tale of Two Quarters After a wild and volatile final quarter in 2018 volatility instruments across the board have seen their levels continue to decline into the end of the first quarter in 2019. [[VXXB]] has witnessed a decline of over 45% since the highs that were struck in December a...