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Blue Bird is a market leader in the school bus industry with a 30% market share.
Blue Bird’s early pivot in electric and propane school buses could help its market share grow during the current replacement cycle due to EPA’s $5 billion program.
I expect Blue Bird to generate $300 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2029.
My price target for Blue Bird is $103 by the end of 2029, representing 184% upside.