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This excerpt from my January newsletter discusses relative valuation levels between various asset classes and my general expectations for the next decade, based on available data.
The Current Regime
Beginning 3-4 months ago, there have been several reversals in the market that continued over the full fourth quarter of 2019.
During the two weeks in early September leading up to the interest rate spike in overnight lending rates, bond yields increased sharply and have generally continued that trend. The ten-year treasury note yield, for example, increased from 1.50% to 1.90% over the past several months,