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Coincident measures of real growth continue to slowly march lower on a trending basis.
Leading indicators of real growth show no signs of an imminent inflection higher in growth.
Jerome Powell was extremely hawkish after raising interest rates 0.25%.
The yield curve flattened massively in response to slowing growth and an overly hawkish Federal Reserve.
Risk assets like equities are too optimistic about the cyclical risks. In the context of a balanced portfolio, I'd look to trim risk exposure in favor of defensive bond or equity exposure.