CMDY - How And Why I Am Breaking My Rules For Commodity Trading

March, 08 2022 11:59 AM iShares Bloomberg Roll Select Commodity Strategy

I present five principles for commodity trading rooted in 300 years' worth of data.
The long-term principles point to depressed commodity returns throughout the remainder of the decade.
Most of the short-term principles point to negative returns over one- to three-year periods.
But this momentum within this context of late-stage equity supercycles and systemic risk suggests taking out insurance against extreme inflationary outcomes.
Because commodity prices are likely to see extreme reversals, commodity positions should be small and be overweight gold.

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Company Name:	iShares Bloomberg Roll Select Commodity Strategy
Stock Symbol:	CMDY
Market:	NYSE