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The 2020s will produce important new trends in the global markets which this letter will explore. The new investment themes for the 2020s are:
Rising rates will hurt bond performance
Energy stocks will rebound
Commodity prices will rise
Emerging market outperformance will resume
The New Cold War: China, Iran, North Korea, Russia and Venezuela
S&P 5905 and Irrational Exuberance
1.Bonds won't be investment winners
Since 1982, interest rates have been declining. In August 2019, when total international negative interest rate debt peaked at $17 trillion, the global trend in declining rates ended.