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The Fed raised its policy interest rate by another 25 basis points, to a target range of 4.75%-5.00%.
The Fed’s base case, indeed, isn’t that dovish at all - certainly not as dovish as the markets.
There is a striking dissonance in financial markets’ pricings: The prediction of sharp Fed rate cuts would suggest a deep recession, perhaps precipitated by a credit crunch or a more extensive banking crisis.