BNTX - SCYNEXIS Inc.: Speculative Buy Michael Burry Sold But I Am Buying
- We are initiating Scynexis with a target price of USD 23 per share. SCYX offers an extremely attractive set up with 600% upside and limited downside (10-15%) considering its near cash.
- SCYX's Brexafemme is clinically de-risked and targets an attractive fungal infection space. Even though we expect muted uptake during 2022, we project 200M-400M peak sales within 5 years.
- The critical inflection point for the stock will be a business development activity from Big Pharma, not near-term earnings.
- The company has 100M cash, but has a high cash burn rate of around 50M/year and will likely need to raise 50-100M soon to fund its phase 3 trials.
- Considering close to cash value EV, we view BD activity as more likely and a public offering.
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SCYNEXIS, Inc.: Speculative Buy, Michael Burry Sold, But I Am Buying