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Fundamentals are in place for a major EM crisis, and I see reasonable probabilities of an unfolding crisis in Turkey providing the catalyst.
Meanwhile, complacency in "developed" markets remains formidable. Is systemic crisis even possible while the major central banks are running full speed ahead with zero rates and QE?
Inflationary pressures are mounting globally. Turkey, Brazil, and Russia have all recently moved to raise rates to counter a significant jump in inflation. Mexico and others will likely follow.