ACTV News and Press, TWO RDS SHARED TR From 06/21/24

2024-06-21 09:00:00 ET Summary I reflect on past bear markets caused by unsustainable debt levels and valuations, but do not see similar circumstances today. Current concerns about a looming bear market are addressed, with a focus on overbought conditions in the technology sector ...

2024-06-21 05:30:00 ET Summary The real GDP growth forecasts for 2024 have been lowered in a few major economies, including the US, Canada, Brazil and Japan. We continue to expect a gradual downward trend in global consumer price index inflation in 2024-26, driven by a moder...

2024-06-21 04:44:10 ET Summary The S&P 500 index is currently overvalued, with its P/E and CAPE ratios significantly above historical averages, suggesting limited future returns and heightened risk. There are increasing signs of economic weakness, including rising unemployment...

2024-06-20 21:39:20 ET Summary The European Central Bank has informed the governments of the European Union to get their budgets under control. The ECB believes that the growing debt levels will "eventually" cause pain as the debt will have to be dealt with. Debt levels contin...

2024-06-20 09:31:22 ET Summary Nvidia is part of the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks driving market returns, but overvaluation poses risks for future shareholder returns. The market is heavily reliant on these tech stocks, with half of the S&P 500's returns coming from the Magnifi...

2024-06-20 07:25:00 ET Summary The Swiss National Bank surprised many with its second consecutive rate cut. Norway's central bank left policy on hold and warned that if the economy performs as expected, it does not anticipate a rate cut until next year. The US dollar is tradin...

2024-06-20 02:55:00 ET Summary If you are wringing your hands over large-cap stocks due to high market concentration and lofty valuations, allocating to small-cap stocks may give you some piece of mind. Relative to their own history, small-cap stocks are trading at a big discount ...

2024-06-20 01:11:46 ET Summary Last week, the Fed maintained its view that rates would be cut this year. While the outcome was quite hawkish, I chose to look beyond this and ask what happens after they finally cut rates, so we can prepare. Since 1921, the Fed has initiated 22 ...

2024-06-20 00:20:00 ET Summary Last month, for instance, government employment was up 2.7 percent, year over year, while private employment was up on 1.6 percent. Growth in government jobs has been outpacing private employment (year over year) for the past fourteen months. The...

2024-06-19 23:32:28 ET Summary Retail sales declined in May and were downwardly revised for prior months, suggesting the consumer is in trouble. A better picture of consumer spending comes from the personal spending report that includes services, as well as goods. That picture...