AGZ News and Press, iShares Agency Bond From 05/01/24

2024-05-01 12:30:00 ET Summary Google searches of the term “stagflation” went up dramatically last week, but I don’t believe we’re seeing stagflation in the US. The recovery in eurozone services appears to have legs, in my opinion, as we are finally see...

2024-04-30 03:10:00 ET Summary Good news is bad news and bad news is bad news... having it both ways. Hints of “stagflation” sends the market into a swoon. More to worry about (or not) in the coming week. What is wrong? I am part of it, although I w...

2024-04-29 15:25:00 ET Summary With the Consumer Price Index touching nine percent in the summer of 2022, fears of a combination of higher inflation and tepid growth mounted. Nothing in the March PCE report gives a strong indication that inflation might be moving in a way that wou...

2024-04-29 12:30:00 ET Summary Stocks may benefit whether the economy and/or inflation exceed or underwhelm expectations. Annual deficits will rise but this may not have as big of an impact on the debt-to-GDP ratio as suspected. Geopolitical conflicts have been a poor predicto...

2024-04-27 23:39:00 ET Summary The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, grew at a continuously compounding annual rate of 3.9 percent in March. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy p...

2024-04-27 22:50:00 ET Summary The first quarter GDP report delivered a one-two punch for markets: slower-than-expected growth and hotter-than-expected inflation. Core PCE through Q1 eased to 2.9% from 3.2% in Q4. Until the year-over-year rates of change in core PCE and core C...

2024-04-27 06:10:00 ET Summary The release of 1st quarter 2024 Gross Domestic Product on April 25th surprised virtually all forecasters. The first three months of 2024 were characterized by a notable deceleration in US economic growth, marking an almost two-year low. Business ...

2024-04-27 05:50:00 ET Summary Quarterly inflation data surprised to the upside and led the market to brace for a very unpleasant MoM print today. Thankfully, it was due to upward revisions, primarily to January, with the March figure coming in line with initial expectations. ...

2024-04-27 04:10:00 ET Summary Elevated inflation and strong activity and jobs numbers have pushed market expectations for the timing of the first interest rate cut to December. We still see an opportunity for a September rate cut. Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve will re...

2024-04-26 05:10:00 ET Summary Markets have overreacted to Thursday's first quarter GDP stats; quarterly numbers are by nature volatile. The first estimate of Q1/24 GDP growth came in weaker than expected (1.6% vs 2.5%). On a quarterly basis, the deflator grew at a 3.7% annual...