BILS News and Press, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill From 10/18/23

2023-10-18 20:55:00 ET Summary With all the attention given to the recent surge in Treasury (UST) yields, there has been an interesting by-product in the process: steepening yield curves. Remember when inverted yield curves were all the rage, and their historical track record was ...

2023-10-16 05:18:00 ET Summary According to Morningstar, the iShares TLT’s SEC yield, is 4.85%, while the 12-month yield is 3.57%, thus splitting the difference on the TLT yield puts the average around 4.2%. The flip side of the Treasury valuation argument is that the Treas...

2023-10-14 03:55:00 ET Summary The risk of a crisis event in the economy is increasing, as the Fed’s "higher for longer" narrative is compromised by lagging economic data. The yield curve inversions occur roughly 10-24 months before a recession or crisis event. This is beca...

2023-10-13 06:43:58 ET Summary BILS is an ETF that tracks the Bloomberg 3-12 Month U.S. Treasury Bill Index, investing primarily in U.S. Treasury Bills with maturities between 3 and 12 months. BILS serves as a cash parking vehicle, offering a slightly higher duration compared to i...

2023-10-13 01:08:53 ET Summary The inverted Treasury yield curve has begun to dis-invert. Long-duration bonds will be hardest hit, but intermediate-term Treasuries likely won’t be spared either. Investors aren’t getting adequate compensation for the duration or r...

2023-10-11 01:05:00 ET Summary Over the past 12 months industrial production has been flat and the ISM Manufacturing Report has been warning of imminent recession. Despite the warnings from reliable leading indicators, the dominant view now is that there will be a “soft lan...

2023-10-10 12:45:00 ET Summary In September, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee paused rates at 5.25% for the second month running, based on softer inflation figures for the month. However, inflation generally, and in the UK in particular, has proven stickier t...

2023-10-10 01:03:00 ET Summary It’s hard to blame the bulls for their good cheer of late. Spiking inflation no longer dominates the headlines even as the U.S. economy has rebounded toward its long-term trend. Meanwhile, the labor market has started to ease (perhaps reducing...

2023-10-09 23:21:00 ET Summary For the past 30 years, implied volatility and yield curves have been locked in a repeating cycle. S&P 500 options volatility appears to alternate between high and low volatility regimes. Implied volatility on S&P 500 options has been exce...

2023-10-09 11:55:00 ET Summary The employment report on Friday seemed like a good one. The unemployment rate was unchanged as the economy added 336,000 jobs in September. The S&P 500 traded down over 38 points. The 10-year Treasury note yield spiked higher by 17 basis points, ...