BILS News and Press, SPDR Bloomberg Barclays 3-12 Month T-Bill From 12/01/23

2023-12-01 08:25:00 ET Summary Wall Street economists predict a "soft landing" or no recession in 2024, despite recessionary indicators suggesting otherwise. The yield curve inversion is a warning sign of a recession, with the un-inversion marking the start of the recession. O...

2023-11-25 04:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method.  This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...

2023-11-24 07:30:00 ET Summary The bond market's obsession with the rate cycle should blind it from fiscal deficit worries. A rate-cutting cycle typically results in positive total returns right out the curve, with the best of those in longer tenors. We're expecting that for m...

2023-11-24 06:55:00 ET Summary Even though the US Treasury has taken some pressure off longer tenors by morphing new issuance towards shorter tenors, the size of the fiscal deficit still matters for the bond market. For any given Fed funds rate, it means a steeper curve from the b...

2023-11-23 09:23:58 ET Summary Treasuries have rallied in recent weeks, though fundamentals don’t quite justify the move. Importantly, the yield curve remains inverted, which means investors get paid more while risking less at the front end. While the 1-3-year segment i...

2023-11-21 09:48:00 ET Summary From the standpoint of systematic monetary policy, the Federal Funds rate remains below, not above, levels that have historically been consistent with prevailing core inflation, output, employment, and sales. Emphatically, our investment discipline i...

2023-11-19 03:56:00 ET Summary Opportunities in fixed income ETFs. The market impact of the Fed finishing its rate hike cycle. Where the funds are flowing in the ETF space. Recent U.S. inflation data is fueling speculation the Federal Reserve’s hiking cycle ha...

2023-11-18 03:45:00 ET Summary Higher long-term rates are expected to continue weighing on markets in the near-term, with a strong correlation observed between stocks and long-term yields. Factors such as Treasury bond issuance, quantitative tightening, increased volatility, fisca...

2023-11-16 03:55:00 ET Summary The global economic outlook along with market valuations and asset class fundamentals all lead us to favor fixed income. Perhaps the resilient U.S. economy will stave off recession but also drive overheating growth and accelerating inflation that pro...

2023-11-13 08:00:00 ET Summary Michael Gayed predicts a credit event in the market and warns of longer-term concerns around U.S. debt trajectory. He discusses the disconnects in the AI mania and inter-market dynamics. Gayed suggests looking internationally for investment oppor...