CID News and Press, Compass EMP International High Dividend 100 Volati From 10/18/22

Summary We sit down to discuss why indexing changed everything, why value is back and the fact that not all inflation is created equal. Will value stocks win for the patient investor over the coming three to five years? I'd give that very, very high odds. Central banks believe...

Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...

Summary In a time of uncertainty, we believe that quality is the key to investing in equities. But to consistently find companies that meet high-quality standards requires research, judgment and investing skill. In this paper, we identify the characteristics that can help guid...

The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...

Stocks had a ripsnorter of a rally last week and a lot of people are pondering the question in the title over this long weekend. Sentiment is certainly negative right now by several measures. Sentiment surveys (AAII, Investor’s Intelligence, etc.) are universally negative becau...

Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent infla...

According to a recent report released by the OECD, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, if prolonged, could knock 1.1 percentage points off the global GDP for 2021, while increasing global inflation by 2.5 percentage points over an already lofty inflation level. The damage won’t be...

US valuations remain very high despite a recent selloff across the market cap spectrum. Developed foreign markets retreated to reasonable PE10 levels. Emerging market valuations have not budged much even with a more than 20% drop since February 2021. For further details see:...

We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...

Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...