COMT News and Press, iShares Commodities Select Strategy ETF From 05/04/22

The expected risk premium continued sliding in April for the Global Markets Index (GMI). Tuesday’s revision reflects a drop to a 5.4% annualized increase for the long term – a relatively large cut of 40 basis points from last month’s estimate. The forecast ref...

During the last Fed rate raising cycle, it took the Federal Reserve five years to raise the fed funds rate to 2.50%. The Fed kept rates far too low for far too long and now we are dealing with the consequences. Both fiscal and monetary policy have been highly inflationary, and we are ...

Global central banks continue to warn that COVID, and other issues, persist. Traders seek some clarity and understanding of what’s going to happen next. In our opinion, the extended demands relating to the superheated reflation of the post-COVID economy set off an explosive inf...

Prior to last week's nasty sell-off, commodity stocks have been monster winners in 2022. Anecdotally, I am reading too many bullish commodity articles, perhaps a sign of a top. The elephant in the room is the war in Ukraine, which arguably caused the big blow-off top. Absent this horr...

Only one major asset was up last week: REITs. There were some negative developments that might explain the selling. With the drop in commodities and fears about the impact of the China slowdown, the immediate effect should be for inflation and growth expectations to moderate. We didn&...

The invasion of Ukraine is an inflationary shock to an already inflationary system. The International Energy Agency has warned that the impact on oil supply will peak only from May onwards. Since the war broke out, core government bonds have suffered sustained price declines unsee...

When reviewing the current state of the global economy and investment markets, we recommend focusing on market signals and weeding out market noise. While decelerating from the pace of 2021, U.S. economic growth is expected to remain positive in 2022, pending further unexpected inflat...

With consumer price inflation now approaching double-digit territory, the bond market is beginning to catch on. The dollar is benefiting mainly from its safe-haven appeal. Inflation expectations have indeed risen and now stand at a historical high (recall that TIPS only came into ...

The commodities market has been surging higher since the start of 2021 and looks likely to continue to trend upward in 2022 and quite probably well into 2023. Due to the effects of inflation, ongoing war and sanctions against Russia, pent-up demand for construction and infrastructure ...

Fund managers are bracing for a further decline in stocks as "fear of a fast and furious Fed" has global growth optimism to an all-time low, according to the latest BofA survey out Tuesday. The April survey of 329 panelists with $929B in assets under management saw global growth optimism fall...