CSD News and Press, Invesco S&P Spin-Off From 09/29/23

2023-09-29 19:50:00 ET Summary Today, the last trading day of September ’23 and the 3rd quarter, and given the tough August and September, the S&P 500 earnings yield has jumped to 5.43%, a level not seen since mid-May ’23. The expected 4th quarter ’23 S&am...

2023-09-28 13:30:00 ET Summary The history of the yield curve shows that it rises prior to rises in equity indices. The interpretation requires looking at the pricing and the impact of individual issues in the S&P 500. Energy, commodity and industrial issues have been risi...

2023-09-27 05:01:00 ET Summary We believe a mild U.S. recession is more likely than not in 2024, although a soft-landing scenario cannot be ruled out. A recession is also likely in the UK and eurozone, but appears less likely in Australia. Equities may remain supported by soft-lan...

2023-09-27 03:35:00 ET Summary Interest rates are likely to remain higher for longer on the heels of better-than-expected growth. Fixed income remains our highest-conviction trade, although we see select opportunities in high-quality equities such as energy and industrials. We...

2023-09-25 21:10:00 ET Summary When I drew the neckline on an obviously forming head-and shoulders top here a week ago, I did not know for sure that we would close below the neckline of that topping pattern last Friday. I don’t like the fact that the broadening of the stock...

2023-09-25 04:59:00 ET Summary Higher for longer means the Fed could maintain the fed funds rate at its current level and let the economy weaken in order to get inflation down to the 2% range. If crude oil and the dollar break lower, it might bring the 10-year Treasury yield back ...

2023-09-24 00:13:00 ET Summary We are cautiously optimistic for Q4 2023. Stock markets turned decidedly more upbeat in July as many strategists adjusted their projections away from recession and toward a “soft landing” scenario for the U.S. economy. Generative AI...

2023-09-23 03:05:00 ET Summary Bonds for safety and equity for growth – this is the basic formula for long-term investment planning, the essence of portfolio construction around a client’s specific return objectives and risk tolerance. Admittedly, we don’t int...

2023-09-22 01:10:00 ET Summary One could use the word anomaly for Q3 of the stock market. S&P 500 performance for the first two months of the quarter was driven by the “magnificent seven” large-cap tech-oriented stocks. In my opinion, the issue of concentration v...

2023-09-21 03:00:00 ET Summary August was an interesting month in the US sovereign bond markets. The first half of the month was characterized by higher bond yields, with the US 10-year Treasury yields reaching its highest level since 2007. Today, investors are being compensated t...