DLBS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L444 From 04/24/19

The Federal Reserve's decision in early 2019 to pause on interest rate hikes is widely credited as a key factor in the stock market's U-turn this year following the sharp correction in equities in late-2018. But the recent uptick in the Effective Federal Funds rate ((EFF)) suggests that the ...

By Sharat Kotikalpudi The US yield curve dipped into inverted territory recently. But that's not necessarily a bad omen for equities. There are several important warning signals - and lately, the yield curve's slope is the only one flashing red. The curve plots the gap between long- and ...

Posted by Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on April 22, 2019, in Market & Economic The view of future growth remains blurry for the world - including the US, China and Europe. In the past several months, we have seen central banks make an abrupt turn toward...

While the housing market has historically been the catalyst for many U.S. recessions, Hedgeye Housing analyst Josh Steiner explains in the video below why it’s unlikely to be the cause of the next economic downturn. “Housing is normally the cause of recessions – with...

Summary and Paper Thesis Although an inverted yield curve led to a recession almost without exception in the last 50 years within a relatively short period of time after the inversion happened, this paper asserts that the inverted yield curve that happened in March and April of 2019 will n...

It is the shadows that really matter . A big enough problem in them would affect pretty much everything, including far off, out-of-the-way places like Federal Funds. Thus, if we observe weird things going on there, we can infer more serious issues back where it does mean something. In 2013 ...

For some, like SA contributor Gary Gordon, the Fed is " Fooling Investors For A Third Time; " others, like conservative economist Greg Mankiw, sing the praise of the Fed : The nation’s central bank employs about 20,000 Americans. They monitor the economy, develop analyses to he...

Understanding The Economy: Where Are We Headed? In a recent research note, published about two months ago, I outlined why recession risk was low despite a decelerating economic environment. I made this assessment based on my four-factor coincident index which was constructed based o...

It has been important to pay attention to the bond market over the past two years or so because a lot of what is going on in the investment world is impacting bond yields. In was, in fact, in December 2017 that I first called attention to the role the bond market might play in 2018 ... an...

Can the US Government Just Keep Piling on Debt? The government already owes over $22 trillion, and it's adding over $1 trillion a year. Who is buying it, and why? (12 min). Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...