DTUS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L519 From 06/11/19

The bond market is currently a puzzle derived from an enigma influenced by an anomaly. Or is it? Here are some bullets. Riskless overnight US government cash equivalents yield more than 2- or 5- or 7- or 10-year maturity instruments of the same credit risk. That means a market based foreca...

(Source: Wikipedia , quote by St Jerome , editing by the Author, based on a story by Dan Brown, an epigram by Balzac and a painting by Caravaggio) As the next FOMC swiftly approaches, the testing of Chairman Powell’s “patience” by data and global politics is near...

Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on June 10, 2019. After spending almost all of 2018 in bearish territory, gold's true fundamentals* (as indicated by my Gold True Fundamentals Model - GTFM) have spent all of this year to date in bullish territory. Refer to the following ...

Rising trade disputes and U.S.-China strategic tensions are increasingly weighing on global risk assets. How are the frictions playing out on the ground in China? A group of our senior investors recently went on a trip to the mainland to take the pulse on corporate sentiment and potential impa...

A string of weak economic data releases and the return of trade tensions with China and Mexico have further diminished the economic outlook lately, which is encouraging traders and investors to price in rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to support the economy. Market participants closely monito...

The common assumption is that bonds are screaming RECESSION right now, while the stock market refuses to hear it. This isn’t entirely true. While the stock market’s long term risk:reward is certainly not bullish, the economic data suggests that a U.S. recession is not imminent. ...

For several years now, officials at the Federal Reserve claim that they are data driven. Well, the markets continue to take the Fed at its word. After favorable words by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials this week, the stock market has took off, bond prices r...

Elga assesses the options the Fed is considering during its monetary policy review. This is the third post in a series of blog posts on the Fed and inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve is considering a monetary policy shift from its flexible inflation forecast targeting to one of se...

By Chris Turner ; Petr Krpata, CFA ; and Francesco Pesole There is a conviction that the Fed is going to have to cut rates to insulate the economy from trade wars. US rates are collapsing, but the dollar is holding up reasonably well. We suspect that is due to wide US yield differenti...

If you wanted to, you could point to news that the US will delay the imposition of higher tariff rates on some Chinese products to June 15 as a catalyst for the Friday morning surge in equities ( SPY ), but it's probably safe to assume that rate cut bets are again playing a big role in propell...