EDV News and Press, Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury From 06/12/24

2024-06-12 14:00:00 ET Summary In May 2024, the AIER Everyday Price Index was essentially unchanged at an index level of 290.9. The largest monthly price increases were seen in food away from home, prescription drugs, and tobacco/smoking products. The share of prices rising ab...

2024-06-12 12:15:00 ET Summary The rate debate is far from settled. Instead, Wall Street is wrestling with what happens next! Central banks in Switzerland, Canada, and the eurozone have recently cut rates - and that’s fueling speculation the US Fed will have to follow befor...

2024-06-12 11:25:00 ET Summary A surprise 0.2% MoM core CPI inflation print after a similar reading for April core PCE deflator offers good news for the Fed in its fight to ease price pressures. This needs to become the trend after a series of far too hot readi...

2024-06-11 10:50:00 ET Summary Consumers are experiencing the impact of rising inflation, particularly in the grocery sector, leading to a shift in consumer sentiment and the need to reassess budgets. Major retailers like Target and Walgreens are addressing consumer concerns by an...

2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...

2024-06-11 02:20:00 ET Summary As I have long said, the rest of the world is starting to cut rates in June – even if the Fed doesn’t follow suit. Since our Fed will now be lagging Europe in rate cuts, that means our rates will be higher, so “carry tradesȁ...

2024-06-10 22:15:00 ET Summary Because the stock market moved sharply and registered fresh all-time highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, many wonder if they have missed the boat. The issue is that we have three companies with $3 trillion (or very close to it) in market cap, and as...

2024-06-10 16:10:00 ET Summary We stay overweight U.S. stocks ahead of the election, yet are cautious on bonds given the fiscal outlook. We focus on long-term positives in India and Mexico. U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Cana...

2024-06-10 11:05:00 ET Summary Nonfarm payrolls rose 272,000 in May, rebounding sharply from April’s gain, with a gain that was well above the consensus forecast. The Fed funds futures market this morning is pricing in modest odds that the first rate cut will now arrive at ...

2024-06-10 10:00:00 ET Summary The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. If we look at some of the other labor data available to us, like the JOLTS survey that was also released last week, a picture of a softening labor mar...