EEH News and Press, Aktiebolaget Svensk Exportkredit Elements Linked to the SPECTRUM Large Cap U.S. Sector Momentum Index developed by BNP Paribas due Augu From 07/05/22

On July 1, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta lowered its Q2 GDP projection to -2.1%, officially forecasting a recession. If the Atlanta Fed’s projection of negative growth in Q2 comes to pass, it will couple with the first quarter decline of -1.6% to put the US economy solidl...

Once the COVID distortions are over the economy will return to its previous state of roughly 2% growth and 2% inflation. Real sales of durable goods surged throughout COVID but accelerated rapidly with stimulus payments; sales peaked right as Biden’s American Rescue Act was imp...

Anchored by the deflationary experiences of the last decade, the Fed waited until headline CPI inflation had hit 7.9% before it finally started tightening monetary policy. This delayed response has permitted inflation expectations to rise and wage growth pressures to increase. Monetar...

A broad range of data suggests recession risks in the U.S. are mounting. Stocks currently remain under selling pressure due to a variety of issues causing a repricing of valuations. Investing during a recession can be dangerous, particularly when elevated valuations are present ac...

The recent unusually large swing in household wealth is not getting the attention it deserves as another recession risk. According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, largely as a result of surging equity and home prices, household wealth increased from $116 trillion at the end of 2019 ...

The second quarter of 2022 was another brutal one for fixed-income instruments, with yields rising across the board. The story was even worse for tax-free munis. The Fed’s hiking, coupled with their sharply more hawkish rhetoric, has spooked all bond markets since March and thr...

Commodities (used in the production of goods) are considered a leading indicator of inflation. Recessions are a normal corrective phase of the economic cycle, but politicians, central banks, most financial advisors, and economists never see them coming. Central bank policies can h...

Chair Powell laid out in unequivocal terms last week that the Fed’s primary goal is to reduce inflation pressures, and the policymaker’s commitment is “unconditional.”. The May Leading Economic Indicators Index posted its third consecutive monthly decline. ...

Whether or not we will have a recession is no longer a question. The recession is already here. The only question is, how deep the recession will become. Q1 GDP posted a reading of -1.4%, and the Atlanta Fed GDP Now estimate for Q2 is 0.0%. This means the US economy shrank during the ...

We expect elevated inflation to continue into 2023 due to the lagged impact of food supply disruption and elevated energy costs. Should a recession occur, its scale is likely to be limited by the reduced number of negative feedback loops. Consumers enter this slowdown with a large...