FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 04/07/23

2023-04-07 23:30:00 ET Summary The old investment playbook is out and a new regime that considers high inflation and interest rates is in. Recent events in the banking sector around SVB and Credit Suisse have made clear the importance of staying nimble as investors. Our expect...

2023-04-07 09:34:00 ET Summary Over the 47-year period since 1975, value stocks with high ROE ratios outperformed the value universe of stocks for the one-year period after the curve first inverts by an average of 4.8%. When spreads are narrow and begin to widen, we are in the Bro...

2023-04-07 05:30:00 ET Summary The promise of diversification failed in 2022 as both equities and fixed income declined. Some investors are questioning whether the traditional 60% equity/ 40% fixed income balanced portfolio remains a valid strategy. Over history, balanced port...

2023-04-06 03:53:00 ET Summary For months, I have been pointing to clear signs that monetary policy has become tight enough to make a difference in people's behavior. A pronounced steepening of the yield curve is the market's way of telling the Fed that they are going to have to c...

2023-04-04 08:00:00 ET Summary A yield curve inversion is caused by a large decline in the monetary inflation rate. There is no sign of an upward reversal in the monetary inflation rate. As long as monetary conditions as indicated by the monetary inflation rate are still tight...

2023-04-04 03:08:00 ET Summary Why the banking sector fallout may require a more sober second look. What the next stage of this late-stage economic cycle might look like. Amid banking fears, are mortgages the next domino to fall? Recent fears about the bankin...

2023-04-02 04:50:00 ET Summary We’ve talked a lot over the years about the shape of the yield curve, how that is a market signal, how that is telling us something about the future, about potential asset market returns. What’s our thoughts? US debt is considered the r...

2023-04-01 05:31:00 ET Summary The Fed added a gargantuan sum to its balance sheet in March, netting an increase of $324B. As the Fed defines it, the balance sheet increase in March was not QE because it did not buy Treasuries. The inverted yield curve is the clearest sign a r...

2023-03-29 13:25:00 ET Summary The economy continued to grow in March, with inflation still unacceptably high, and the Federal Reserve tightening further. A solid job market is the most important factor for consumer spending. Despite this, February retail sales dipped by 0.4 perce...

2023-03-28 00:45:00 ET Summary Over the past year, the Federal Reserve and the various European central banks have raised rates more than at any time since 1981. Short-term interest rates rose above long-term rates, creating the steepest yield curve inversion in decades. As su...