FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 05/03/22

The Miller Income Strategy returned -10.08% for Q1 2022. As of the middle of April, the market is telling us the economy is still strong, though the rate of growth is now slowing due to overheating and inflation. Red-hot inflation now looks like it is weighing on growth. There...

Expects the bond market volatility to come off the boil a little bit or even better, see a rally in yields. There's a lot already priced into the bond market with respect to central bank interest rate hikes. Michael Craig, Head of Asset Allocation and Derivatives, TD Asset Managem...

Only one major asset was up last week: REITs. There were some negative developments that might explain the selling. With the drop in commodities and fears about the impact of the China slowdown, the immediate effect should be for inflation and growth expectations to moderate. We didn&...

Historically, a recession followed when 50% or more of the tracked yield curves became inverted. Every time. Interestingly, many of the data points suggesting the “economy is booming” are lagging indicators subject to significant negative revisions in the future. Eve...

When reviewing the current state of the global economy and investment markets, we recommend focusing on market signals and weeding out market noise. While decelerating from the pace of 2021, U.S. economic growth is expected to remain positive in 2022, pending further unexpected inflat...

We have a healthy labor market, and it’s hard to have a recession when the labor market is on fire. If you go back to 1970, there’s been the same number of examples where an oil price spike year-over-year of 60% occurred that led to a recession, and the same number of ex...

Despite these changing circumstances, both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve maintained interest rate suppression policies well into the supply-led inflation spike. The Fed’s guidance as to how it would unwind its balance sheet - at $95 billion per mont...

We're now in an environment today where returns have been challenged and volatility has been elevated. For investors, that can be a challenging period to operate in. Higher rates, although painful on the way up, have uncovered or introduced a bit more value in a market where value had...

Fixed income is the higher-quality segment of a portfolio. It’s the segment of the portfolio that generates a steady, consistent income stream. It’s also an area of the portfolio that helps protect against negative economic scenarios. At these higher yield levels now...

Supply shocks have created scarcity inflation, making higher inflation more persistent and increasing the risk of a growth slowdown. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields hit three-year highs after it became clear the Fed will start to reduce its balance sheet quickly. We see further yield ri...